Tendances économiques 2016
 Former les entreprises aux Risques ... - Indépendance et rigueur ...
RSS Nous retrouver Devenir Fan

Fourni par FeedBurner


Articles récents

Le conjoint d’un associé de SNC
Crédit immobilier : Renégocier l’assurance de prêt après avoir arrêté de fumer
L'assurance complémentaire santé
le PER, nouveau produit d’épargne retraite
une rétraction de la consommation des énergies fossiles en 2020

Catégories

ART et PATRIMOINE
ASSURANCE VIE
Développement durable
DROIT et FISCALITE
FINANCE GLOBALE
IMMOBILIER PROFESSIONNEL
PHILANTHROPIE
PLACEMENTS
PRET
PREVOYANCE
PROMOTION
RETRAITE
Risques porfessionnels
Risques Professionnels
Risques Spéciaux
SANTE
fourni par

Mon blog

Tendances économiques 2016

Dans la continuité de 2015 :

Nous n’anticipons pas une accélération de la croissance dans le monde industrialisé. Elle devrait avoisiner 2,1%. Dans les pays émergents en revanche, un bilan légèrement plus favorable, même si morose dans l’absolu, est possible (4,4%): l’effet négatif du recul des matières premières devrait s’estomper et de nombreuses économies bénéficieront de la dépréciation de leur devise.

La reprise devrait se poursuivre en l’absence de choc important. Il est cependant illusoire de s’attendre à un regain de vigueur de la croissance.

Inflation contenue :

Dans cet environnement, l’inflation devrait rester contenue. Les pressions déflationnistes demeureront plus nombreuses que les pressions haussières sur les prix, en particulier dans le secteur manufacturier et dans les pays où la croissance est faible (Europe) et où trop d’investissements ont été consentis (Chine).
Nous anticipons que la majorité des Banques centrales maintiendront des politiques de relance, des taux bas, voire négatifs, et des injections de liquidités. Le tout afin de contrecarrer les pressions déflationnistes et soulager les acteurs économiques, privés ou étatiques, trop endettés.

TAUX BAS : 

En revanche, la Réserve fédérale américaine, confrontée à un taux de chômage historiquement faible et à quelques tensions sur les salaires, devrait relever les taux d’intérêt en 2016. Une hausse qui s’annonce très graduelle, car face aux taux au plancher, voire négatifs, des autres Banques centrales, le dollar risque de s’apprécier davantage et mettre à mal une reprise américaine, certes bien ancrée, mais nullement spectaculaire.

Des Risques à surveiller :

La Chine devrait encore occuper le devant la scène en matière d’incertitudes économiques.
Le ralentissement de sa croissance est, en effet, en partie de nature structurelle: transition d’une économie portée à l’excès par l’investissement et les exportations vers une activité où le poids de la consommation et des services sera plus élevé.
La croissance restera ainsi sur une pente descendante.

Néanmoins, nous anticipons que les autorités disposent encore de la marge de manœuvre et des outils nécessaires pour maîtriser ce ralentissement. Le défi n’est pourtant pas gagné d’avance.

Les pressions déflationnistes peuvent aussi, si elles s’intensifient, ralentir une croissance mondiale déjà modeste. En pénalisant les bénéfices des sociétés, elles pourraient les inciter à embaucher et à investir moins, y compris aux Etats-Unis, réduisant une croissance déjà modeste. A suivre! 

Source : la Banque Cantonale Vaudoise 


65 commentaires pour Tendances économiques 2016:

Commentaires RSS
Baumann on samedi 20 juin 2020 04:27
Wow, marvelous weblog structure! How lengthy have you been running a blog for? you made blogging glance easy. The entire look of your site is fantastic, as well as the content!
Répondre au commentaire


Milerum on samedi 20 juin 2020 08:26
This web site definitely has all the info I wanted concerning this subject and didn't know who to ask.
Répondre au commentaire


Gopinko on samedi 20 juin 2020 20:33
Thanks for sharing your thoughts on Blue Highland Assurances "IMMOBILIER". Regards
Répondre au commentaire


Brigstocke on samedi 20 juin 2020 23:42
I'm really enjoying the design and layout of your site. It's a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more enjoyable for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a designer to create your theme? Exceptional work!
Répondre au commentaire


Alvarado on dimanche 21 juin 2020 16:41
Great article.
Répondre au commentaire


Hoadley on lundi 22 juin 2020 14:52
Nice post. I learn something new and challenging on blogs I stumbleupon every day. It's always interesting to read content from other writers and practice a little something from their websites.
Répondre au commentaire


Jacobsen on mercredi 24 juin 2020 03:24
Cbd oil that works 2020 Hi there this is kind of of off topic but I was wanting to know if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I'm starting a blog soon but have no coding expertise so I wanted to get guidance from someone with experience. Any help would be greatly appreciated! best cbd oil for pain http://tinyurl.com/cbd-oil-that-works-2020 cbd oil that works 2020 http://tinyurl.com/cbd-oil-that-works-2020
Répondre au commentaire


Griffiths on vendredi 26 juin 2020 06:24
I really love your website.. Great colors & theme. Did you create this web site yourself? Please reply back as I'm looking to create my very own website and would love to learn where you got this from or what the theme is called. Many thanks!
Répondre au commentaire


Coons on vendredi 26 juin 2020 12:20
I visited various blogs but the audio feature for audio songs existing at this web page is genuinely superb.
Répondre au commentaire


Guercio on vendredi 26 juin 2020 14:07
It's an amazing article for all the online viewers; they will obtain advantage from it I am sure.
Répondre au commentaire


Burrowes on vendredi 26 juin 2020 16:28
Hi there great blog! Does running a blog such as this take a large amount of work? I've virtually no understanding of computer programming however I was hoping to start my own blog soon. Anyways, if you have any recommendations or tips for new blog owners please share. I understand this is off subject nevertheless I simply needed to ask. Thank you!
Répondre au commentaire


Roderick on samedi 27 juin 2020 02:23
I've been browsing online more than 3 hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It is pretty worth enough for me. In my view, if all website owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the internet will be a lot more useful than ever before.
Répondre au commentaire


Gatliff on samedi 27 juin 2020 05:32
Hello, I read your blogs like every week. Your writing style is witty, keep up the good work!
Répondre au commentaire


Meza on samedi 27 juin 2020 08:08
Hello, yup this piece of writing is actually good and I have learned lot of things from it on the topic of blogging. thanks.
Répondre au commentaire


Wellish on samedi 27 juin 2020 16:14
I'm not sure exactly why but this blog is loading incredibly slow for me. Is anyone else having this issue or is it a problem on my end? I'll check back later and see if the problem still exists.
Répondre au commentaire


Heaton on samedi 27 juin 2020 21:36
Admiring the commitment you put into your blog and detailed information you provide. It's good to come across a blog every once in a while that isn't the same outdated rehashed material. Wonderful read! I've saved your site and I'm adding your RSS feeds to my Google account.
Répondre au commentaire


Cheshire on dimanche 28 juin 2020 00:13
No matter if some one searches for his vital thing, therefore he/she wants to be available that in detail, therefore that thing is maintained over here.
Répondre au commentaire


Dame on dimanche 28 juin 2020 22:10
Wow, amazing blog layout! How long have you been blogging for? you made blogging look easy. The entire look of your website is fantastic, let alone the content material!
Répondre au commentaire


Wylie on lundi 29 juin 2020 03:25
Hi my loved one! I want to say that this post is amazing, great written and include almost all vital infos. I would like to see more posts like this .
Répondre au commentaire


Wimberly on lundi 29 juin 2020 05:42
Hi there to all, the contents present at this web page are really remarkable for people experience, well, keep up the good work fellows.
Répondre au commentaire


Bottoms on jeudi 16 juillet 2020 14:26
I want to to thank you for this fantastic read!! I certainly loved every little bit of it. I have you saved as a favorite to look at new stuff you post…
Répondre au commentaire


Cullen on jeudi 16 juillet 2020 14:27
Woah! I'm really enjoying the template/theme of this website. It's simple, yet effective. A lot of times it's difficult to get that "perfect balance" between superb usability and visual appearance. I must say you have done a superb job with this. Also, the blog loads super quick for me on Safari. Exceptional Blog!
Répondre au commentaire


Tallis on vendredi 17 juillet 2020 20:30
My partner and I stumbled over here from a different page and thought I may as well check things out. I like what I see so i am just following you. Look forward to checking out your web page again.
Répondre au commentaire


Brunskill on samedi 18 juillet 2020 03:57
I am truly happy to read this blog posts which carries lots of useful information, thanks for providing these kinds of information.
Répondre au commentaire


Abe on samedi 18 juillet 2020 04:08
Thanks for sharing your info. I truly appreciate your efforts and I will be waiting for your further post thank you once again.
Répondre au commentaire


Branson on mardi 21 juillet 2020 21:33
With havin so much written content do you ever run into any problems of plagorism or copyright violation? My website has a lot of exclusive content I've either authored myself or outsourced but it appears a lot of it is popping it up all over the web without my agreement. Do you know any solutions to help protect against content from being stolen? I'd genuinely appreciate it.
Répondre au commentaire


Casillas on mercredi 22 juillet 2020 00:50
It's a shame you don't have a donate button! I'd without a doubt donate to this fantastic blog! I suppose for now i'll settle for book-marking and adding your RSS feed to my Google account. I look forward to brand new updates and will talk about this site with my Facebook group. Talk soon!
Répondre au commentaire


Mate on jeudi 23 juillet 2020 00:43
Very rapidly this site will be famous among all blogging viewers, due to it's fastidious posts
Répondre au commentaire


Muramats on jeudi 23 juillet 2020 04:23
You have made some really good points there. I checked on the net to find out more about the issue and found most individuals will go along with your views on this website.
Répondre au commentaire


Mathew on samedi 25 juillet 2020 05:56
You need to take part in a contest for one of the highest quality blogs on the internet. I most certainly will recommend this website!
Répondre au commentaire


Hecht on samedi 25 juillet 2020 22:04
each time i used to read smaller articles or reviews that also clear their motive, and that is also happening with this piece of writing which I am reading here.
Répondre au commentaire


Clutterbuck on dimanche 26 juillet 2020 00:26
Hi, I do believe this is a great blog. I stumbledupon it ;) I may come back once again since I bookmarked it. Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to guide other people.
Répondre au commentaire


Wilkinson on dimanche 26 juillet 2020 22:07
I’m not that much of a online reader to be honest but your sites really nice, keep it up! I'll go ahead and bookmark your website to come back down the road. Many thanks
Répondre au commentaire


Long on lundi 27 juillet 2020 13:07
Great site you have got here.. It's difficult to find high-quality writing like yours these days. I truly appreciate people like you! Take care!!
Répondre au commentaire


Halfey on mardi 28 juillet 2020 01:21
Pretty nice post. I simply stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to say that I have really loved browsing your blog posts. After all I'll be subscribing for your feed and I am hoping you write once more soon!
Répondre au commentaire


Pilcher on mercredi 29 juillet 2020 07:31
It's genuinely very difficult in this active life to listen news on Television, therefore I simply use web for that purpose, and obtain the latest news.
Répondre au commentaire


Denman on jeudi 30 juillet 2020 10:22
Very good post! We are linking to this particularly great post on our website. Keep up the great writing. adreamoftrains website host
Répondre au commentaire


Worth on vendredi 31 juillet 2020 03:08
I was recommended this website via my cousin. I am no longer certain whether this publish is written by way of him as nobody else realize such unique about my difficulty. You're amazing! Thank you!
Répondre au commentaire


Sheahan on mercredi 5 août 2020 14:14
Greetings from Ohio! I'm bored to tears at work so I decided to browse your blog on my iphone during lunch break. I love the information you provide here and can't wait to take a look when I get home. I'm shocked at how fast your blog loaded on my phone .. I'm not even using WIFI, just 3G .. Anyhow, fantastic blog!
Répondre au commentaire


McKay on mercredi 5 août 2020 17:02
I like the valuable information you provide in your articles. I'll bookmark your blog and check again here regularly. I am quite certain I will learn a lot of new stuff right here! Good luck for the next!
Répondre au commentaire


Galway on jeudi 6 août 2020 14:44
Nice blog here! Also your website loads up fast! What web host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host? I wish my web site loaded up as quickly as yours lol
Répondre au commentaire


Ericson on jeudi 6 août 2020 15:53
It's not my first time to go to see this site, i am browsing this website dailly and get fastidious facts from here all the time.
Répondre au commentaire


Pruitt on vendredi 7 août 2020 06:16
I am really happy to read this webpage posts which carries plenty of helpful facts, thanks for providing these kinds of statistics.
Répondre au commentaire


Pendergrass on mardi 11 août 2020 00:57
Hello There. I found your blog using msn. This is an extremely smartly written article. I'll be sure to bookmark it and return to learn more of your useful info. Thanks for the post. I will certainly return.
Répondre au commentaire


Morse on vendredi 14 août 2020 08:33
What's up to all, how is the whole thing, I think every one is getting more from this web site, and your views are nice in favor of new users.
Répondre au commentaire


Marsden on vendredi 14 août 2020 12:55
I was suggested this web site through my cousin. I'm not certain whether or not this submit is written via him as no one else recognize such detailed about my trouble. You are incredible! Thanks!
Répondre au commentaire


Lumholtz on lundi 24 août 2020 03:20
I was suggested this blog by my cousin. I'm not sure whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my trouble. You are wonderful! Thanks!
Répondre au commentaire


Gillis on lundi 24 août 2020 07:11
Your method of explaining the whole thing in this post is truly pleasant, every one be able to easily know it, Thanks a lot.
Répondre au commentaire


Sommers on lundi 24 août 2020 13:33
You need to take part in a contest for one of the highest quality websites online. I am going to highly recommend this web site! cheap flights 2CSYEon
Répondre au commentaire


Wilding on lundi 24 août 2020 21:47
Way cool! Some extremely valid points! I appreciate you penning this post and also the rest of the website is very good. y2yxvvfw cheap flights
Répondre au commentaire


Gormanston on lundi 24 août 2020 22:17
Usually I don't read article on blogs, but I would like to say that this write-up very pressured me to take a look at and do so! Your writing style has been amazed me. Thank you, very nice article. cheap flights yynxznuh
Répondre au commentaire


Herrmann on lundi 24 août 2020 23:25
Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your point. You clearly know what youre talking about, why throw away your intelligence on just posting videos to your site when you could be giving us something informative to read? cheap flights y2yxvvfw
Répondre au commentaire


Tillery on mardi 25 août 2020 10:19
I'm not sure exactly why but this blog is loading very slow for me. Is anyone else having this problem or is it a issue on my end? I'll check back later on and see if the problem still exists. yynxznuh cheap flights
Répondre au commentaire


Bernays on mercredi 26 août 2020 02:48
I was suggested this website by my cousin. I am not sure whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my problem. You're amazing! Thanks! cheap flights 34pIoq5
Répondre au commentaire


Hardey on mercredi 26 août 2020 07:20
Hi, everything is going perfectly here and ofcourse every one is sharing facts, that's actually good, keep up writing.
Répondre au commentaire


Baum on mercredi 26 août 2020 14:01
Amazing blog! Is your theme custom made or did you download it from somewhere? A design like yours with a few simple adjustements would really make my blog jump out. Please let me know where you got your theme. Kudos y2yxvvfw cheap flights
Répondre au commentaire


Lukis on mercredi 26 août 2020 20:31
Hi there, I enjoy reading through your post. I like to write a little comment to support you.
Répondre au commentaire


Pham on jeudi 27 août 2020 05:01
My family members every time say that I am wasting my time here at web, however I know I am getting experience daily by reading thes pleasant posts.
Répondre au commentaire


Boyce on jeudi 27 août 2020 21:08
Hi there! I could have sworn I've been to this website before but after checking through some of the post I realized it's new to me. Nonetheless, I'm definitely glad I found it and I'll be book-marking and checking back frequently!
Répondre au commentaire


Duterrau on jeudi 27 août 2020 22:24
I constantly spent my half an hour to read this web site's content daily along with a cup of coffee.
Répondre au commentaire


Lardner on vendredi 28 août 2020 05:26
There's definately a great deal to know about this subject. I like all the points you made.
Répondre au commentaire


Leventhal on vendredi 28 août 2020 10:22
Why people still make use of to read news papers when in this technological globe all is presented on net?
Répondre au commentaire


Midgett on lundi 31 août 2020 16:00
My family always say that I am wasting my time here at net, except I know I am getting know-how everyday by reading such fastidious articles.
Répondre au commentaire


Slim on samedi 5 septembre 2020 08:15
Ahaa, its pleasant conversation on the topic of this paragraph at this place at this weblog, I have read all that, so at this time me also commenting at this place.
Répondre au commentaire


Reiner on samedi 5 septembre 2020 10:38
Hello! I know this is kinda off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could locate a captcha plugin for my comment form? I'm using the same blog platform as yours and I'm having trouble finding one? Thanks a lot!
Répondre au commentaire

Ajouter un commentaire

Votre nom :
Adresse email : (obligatoire)
Site web:
Commentaire :
Vous pouvez modifier votre texte : agrandi, gras, italique, etc. avec les codes HTML. Voici comment faire..
Post Comment